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College Football Ranking of Rankings Systems

December,  02, 2007 (126 Rankings)

BCS Problem - from Absolute to Relative theory

Kenneth Massey has made a remarkable thing - has collected about hundred ranking systems of College Football teams. And having assumed, that as behind everyone ranking authors stand and all of them are equal and are the experts as though armed with mathematics. And time so that is naturally simple to calculate certain average ranking, for example, by summing ranks of teams.

As has truly noticed by Kenneth Massey models of an estimation of validity of ranks much. Probably as much how many models of ranks.

More or less the general structure probably is fair.

ESTIMATION of the MISTAKE =
                        IMPORTANCE of MISTAKE * SIZE of  MISTAKE

Here:

IMPORTANCE of MISTAKE = ESTIMATION of WINNER'S RANK  +
                        ESTIMATION of DEFEATED RANK

SIZE of MISTAKE = ESTIMATION of  DEFEATED RANK  - ESTIMATION of WINNER'S RANK

It results in beautiful expression:

ESTIMATION of MISTAKE =     ESTIMATION of RANK DEFEATED ^ 2 -                            ESTIMATION of WINNER'S RANK ^ 2

For the elementary estimation of the RANK of participants was used

RANK ESTIMATION = N - RANK

However it is not only one of possible elementary arithmetic expressions.

  • Err - number of errors
  • RnkE - rank by errors
  • WE - weighted errors
  • RnkW - rank by weighted errors

Err gives us teams points of view. (The less number of errors - the better)

WE presents fans points of view. (Errors in top of ranking list has lager weight)

      Teams PW Fans PW TOTALS
Rnk Links to methods ABR Err Rnk WE Rnk SumRnk
1  CSL  CSL 112 4 323 5 9
1  McCormick  MCK 114 5 321 4 9
3  Slots  SLT 108 3 330 9 12
4  Waits  WTS 139 11 320 2 13
5  Sorensen  SOR 133 7 351 17 24
6  Wilson  WIL 141 17 328 8 25
7  Sagarin-Elo  SE 141 17 332 11 28
8  Dolphin  DOL 139 11 355 21 32
9  Tellshow  TSW 143 30 324 6 36
9  E= Å= 139 11 358 25 36
11  Self  SEL 143 30 327 7 37
12  BoCaDuck  BCD 138 8 363 32 40
12  Massey BCS  MB 143 30 331 10 40
14  Ashburn BCSC  ABC 142 23 352 18 41
15  Bobcat  BOB 141 17 358 26 43
15  Coleman's MinV  CMV 83 1 375 42 43
17  ISR  ISR 138 8 372 39 47
17  Random Walker FL  RFL 141 17 361 30 47
19  Random Walker  RW 143 30 354 20 50
20  Maas  MAA 141 17 367 34 51
20  Wolfe  WOL 139 11 373 40 51
22  Associated Press  AP 143 30 355 22 52
22  Rewards  REW 140 15 371 37 52
22  Rothman  RTH 145 49 320 3 52
25  Gupta  GUP 144 41 337 12 53
26  Dokter  DOK 144 41 342 13 54
26  Massey MOV  MAS 143 30 357 24 54
28  Bihl BIH 142 23 363 33 56
28  Rudacille  RUD 144 41 344 15 56
30  SportsDoc  SD 138 8 380 51 59
31  E+ Å+ 144 41 354 19 60
32  Anderson  AND 143 30 361 31 61
33  E- Å- 143 30 370 36 66
34  E-Rating  ER 144 41 359 27 68
35  GB Eldredge  GBE 144 41 360 29 70
35  Reese  RSE 142 23 379 47 70